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	<title>The Smart Money</title>
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	<description>Just another Don Best Sports Blogs weblog</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 21:52:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Alex Smart-NFL Comp Selection</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/04/alex-smart-nfl-comp-selection/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/04/alex-smart-nfl-comp-selection/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 21:52:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=78</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Miami Dolphins +7.0
Sun Oct 5 &#8216;08 1:00p
The Miami Dolphins have had an extra week of rest since upsetting and pounding the New England Patriots 30-13 back on Sept 21. The Fins , well prepared and fresh, will now take on a San Diego team that exerted a great deal of energy in a come back [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Miami Dolphins +7.0<br />
Sun Oct 5 &#8216;08 1:00p<br />
The Miami Dolphins have had an extra week of rest since upsetting and pounding the New England Patriots 30-13 back on Sept 21. The Fins , well prepared and fresh, will now take on a San Diego team that exerted a great deal of energy in a come back victory against their long time rivals the Oakland Raiders last week.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m betting the Chargers after that above mentioned effort, and the difficulties associated with adjusting to a new time zone, will not be as lethal as usual, especially in the heat and humidity of south Florida. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, I expect the Dolphins behind a load of exotic offensive options with RB Ronnie Brown as the catalyst to give the Chargers inconsistent offense all they can handle in this spot on their way to what could easily be another upset win, against a franchise they have beaten 6 straight times .</p>
<p>Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover -Projected score: Miami 24 San Diego 21</p>
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		<title>Smart Money College Football Comp Selection</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/03/smart-money-college-football-comp-selection/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/03/smart-money-college-football-comp-selection/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 15:54:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=77</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ Auburn -4
Sat Oct 4 &#8216;08 6:00p
Auburn(4-1) enters into this tilt off a big bounce back victory against the Tennessee Vols last time out, by a score of 14-12, and will be primed to take out a over hyped Vanderbilt (4-0) program in this spot. The Tigers after a loss to LSU the previous week, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> Auburn -4<br />
Sat Oct 4 &#8216;08 6:00p<br />
Auburn(4-1) enters into this tilt off a big bounce back victory against the Tennessee Vols last time out, by a score of 14-12, and will be primed to take out a over hyped Vanderbilt (4-0) program in this spot. The Tigers after a loss to LSU the previous week, could have easily been in a let down situation, but instead came back strong, which in turn bodes well, for their chances against a Commodores team that is getting a lot of over done accolades. Do not get me wrong, Vandy has performed admirably so far this season, with key upset wins against the Mississippi Rebels and South Carolina Gamecocks , however, now, because of their successes , they have a huge target on their backs, and will be unable to launch any more surprise attacks . </p>
<p>Im betting Auburns hardcore defense, that has allowed 3 of 5 opponents under 100 yards rushing, to gives fits to a good but not quite ready for prime time Vanderbilt offense., that depends almost exclusively on their running game to move the chains. Meanwhile, a Tigers offense, that has not looked very fluid this season , will finally have some successes against , a vulnerable secondary that has allowed an average of 240 passing yards per game., and with each successive game this season has also allowed more and more yards on the ground. </p>
<p>Final notes &amp; Key Trends: The Tigers have won 13 straight in this series, the last three wins have come by an average of 30 PPG. The Commodores are 8-21 ATS L/29 October home games. HC Tubberville of Auburn is also 9-1 L/10 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. </p>
<p>Projected score: Auburn 28 Vanderbilt 13</p>
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		<title>Smart-NFL Week 5 Betting Power Poll</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/01/smart-nfl-week-5-betting-power-poll/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/10/01/smart-nfl-week-5-betting-power-poll/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Oct 2008 14:39:36 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=76</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 1: Tennessee Titans (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) Tennessee holds the top spot in the poll with their 30-17 beating of the Vikes as 3-point favorites. Titans bettors haven’t had anything to worry about this year, as the 10-point victory against the spread was the closest game they’ve played to the football betting line this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> 1: Tennessee Titans (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) Tennessee holds the top spot in the poll with their 30-17 beating of the Vikes as 3-point favorites. Titans bettors haven’t had anything to worry about this year, as the 10-point victory against the spread was the closest game they’ve played to the football betting line this year. They’ve got the longest streak of covering spreads in the land at five games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Ravens (-3)</p>
<p>2: Baltimore Ravens (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 4) The Ravens had the Steelers dead to rights on MNF last week, but came up just short of an outright victory. Their 3-point OT loss was good enough to cover the spread though, which is great news for Baltimore bettors who only went 3-13 a year ago. They’ll hook up with the only other unbeaten team left in the league this weekend.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Titans (-3)</p>
<p>3: Buffalo Bills (3-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 5) Buffalo has been awfully impressive this year, and that continued when they whooped the Rams 25-0 in the 2nd half and putting Scott Linehan out of a job once and for all. They take on the Cards this week, a team that they’ve covered in each of their L/4 meetings.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Cardinals (+1)</p>
<p>4: New York Giants (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) (LW: 6) The G-Men were off last week after failing to cover against the Bengals. Though Giants bettors were losers that day, they’re still 8-4 ATS in their L/12 games as favorites.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Seahawks (-7.5)</p>
<p>5: Washington Redskins (3-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 15) For a team that was only picked to win 7.5 games this season, the Skins have been quite impressive under first year HC Jim Zorn. They picked up a huge outright victory as double-digit dogs in “Big D” over the weekend. Washington will put their three game winning streak on the line this week in Philadelphia.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Eagles (+5.5)</p>
<p>6: Philadelphia Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 2) Philly couldn’t find a way to capitalize on their chances against the Bears on Sunday, and it cost their bettors a chance at moving to 4-0 on the season. They’ll return to the City of Brotherly Love this week, a place where they’ve outscored their L/3 opponents by an average of 17.3 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Redskins (-5.5)</p>
<p>7: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 12) Tampa Bay just keeps finding ways to win games and cover spreads for their football bettors. In spite of three interceptions by Brian Griese, the Bucs found a way to cover the Pack. Since the ’04 season, Tampa Bay has gone just 4-9-1 ATS against teams from the AFC or NFC West, and they’ll hope to reverse that trend this week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Broncos (+3)</p>
<p>8: Chicago Bears (2-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 13) The Eagles might’ve scored 20 points last Sunday night, but don’t let the numbers fool you. The Bears defense was dominating, bailing out an offense that turned the ball over four times. It’s not quite a bye week this week for Chicago, but it’s the next best thing. They’re headed to the Motor City.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Lions (-3.5)</p>
<p>9: New Orleans Saints (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 16) NFL bettors backing the Saints moved to 3-1 on the year when New Orleans knocked off the 49ers by two TDs as short favorites. It could be a short-lived winning streak, as the Vikings have both won and covered the last three games against New Orleans.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Vikings (-3.5)</p>
<p>10: Dallas Cowboys (2-2 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 3) There are chinks in the armor of the Cowboys after all. They were beaten as double-digit favorites at home against the Skins this week, largely due to the fact that they haven’t forced a turnover all season. That should change this week if Carson Palmer isn’t ready to go for the Bengals.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Bengals (OTB)</p>
<p>11: Oakland Raiders (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 9) Oakland bettors were robbed of a winning ticket last week after being outscored 25-3 in the 4th quarter by the Chargers. It also wasn’t a good week for those who bet on Lane Kiffin to be the first coach fired this year, as Scott Linehan beat him to it.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>12: Green Bay Packers (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: <img src='http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> There’s lots of bad news in Green Bay right now. Losing to the Bucs might be the better news from Week 4, as Aaron Rodgers hurt his throwing shoulder and might not play this week. The good news is that Atlanta is next up.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Falcons (-7)</p>
<p>13: Carolina Panthers (2-1-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 17) The Panthers are quietly 3-1 and tied for the top spot in the NFC South after cashing another winning ticket against the Falcons last week. They play their 2nd AFC West opponent of the year, a division they have a good history against. Since 2000, Carolina is 6-3 ATS.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Chiefs (-10)</p>
<p>14: Atlanta Falcons (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 7) In their two road games this season, the Falcons have lost by the identical scores of 24-9. They’ve now lost 10 out of 11 games away from the Georgia Dome, and now the head to Green Bay, a place they haven’t visited since the ’03 playoffs.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Packers (+7)</p>
<p>15: San Diego Chargers (2-1-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 19) No one could fault Chargers bettors who laid the nine-points against the Raiders for ripping up their ticket when the Bolts trailed 15-0 at halftime and 15-3 after three quarters. They responded by outscoring Oakland 25-3 in the 4th to find the backdoor. San Diego is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS against the Fins, this week’s opponent.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Dolphins (-7)</p>
<p>16: San Francisco 49ers (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 11) Niners bettors ripped up their betting ticket for the tenth time in their L/12 meetings with the Saints this past Sunday. They return to the Bay Area this weekend, a place where they’ve covered the spread in three of their L/4 games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Patriots (+3)</p>
<p>17: Denver Broncos (1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 10) That thud you heard was the sound of the Broncos bandwagon careening into a ditch. As 9.5-point road favorites, Denver laid a massive egg, dropping to the Chiefs by two touchdowns. The Bucs are averaging over five yards per carry this year, so they must be licking their chops after watching the Broncos give up 198 yards to Larry Johnson last week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Buccaneers (-3)</p>
<p>18: New York Jets (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 25) It took Brett Favre just four games to do something with the Jets that he never did in his entire career with the Packers: Throw six TDs in a game. New York took care of the Cards with ease and will now enjoy their bye week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>19: Arizona Cardinals (2-2 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 14) It’s not often that you can throw for 472 yards, have three 100+ yard receivers, and score 35 points in a half of football… and lose… That’s what Arizona pulled off last Sunday against the Jets, delivering a blow to Cards bettors. They stay in the AFC East this week when Buffalo visits the desert, a place where Arizona has covered in six of their L/9 games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Bills (-1)</p>
<p>20: Indianapolis Colts (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 21) Following their bye week, the Colts are set to embark on a stretch of six out of nine games on the road. That’s good news for Indy bettors, as they are 7-4 ATS and 10-1 SU in their L/11 outside of Indianapolis.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Texans (-3)</p>
<p>21: Miami Dolphins (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 22) The Fins were off last weekend, and hope to ride the momentum from their massive win in New England two weeks ago. They travel west to take on the Chargers this weekend. History is on Miami’s side, as the Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their L/11 games against AFC West opponents.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Chargers (+7)</p>
<p>22: Cleveland Browns (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 28) Browns bettors caught a big break when Carson Palmer didn’t suit for the Bengals. They’ll take their 20-12 win in Cincy into their bye week, where HC Romeo Crennel will have to figure out whether he wants to stick with Derek Anderson or turn the quarterback reigns over to Brady Quinn.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>23: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 18) Jacksonville bettors should be getting used to dramatic finishes. QB David Garrard put the Jags on his back to lead them to a come-from-behind victory over the Texans on Sunday, but it wasn’t enough to give J’Ville bettors a winning ticket. They’ll hope to return to their winning ways next week against the Steelers, a team they’ve covered against in eight of their L/9.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Steelers (-3)</p>
<p>24: Kansas City Chiefs (2-2 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 30) The Chiefs might be 2-2 ATS, but we’re still not buying what HC Herm Edwards is selling. KC earned a nice 33-19 victory over Denver, but they’ll move further up the power poll if they can break a three-game ATS losing streak to the NFC South next weekend.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Panthers (+10)</p>
<p>25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 20) The gritty Steelers found a way to erase a 10-point deficit at halftime against the Ravens to pound out a 23-20 victory, but it came at a steep price. RB Rashard Mendenhall is out for the season, and they’ll be forced to go up against a very physical Jacksonville team next week with their third and fourth team running backs.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Jaguars (+3)</p>
<p>26: New England Patriots (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 23) With QB Tom Brady sidelined, the Pats rank near the bottom of a ton of offensive categories. If New England bettors have anything to fall back on this week, it’s that they’ve dominated the NFC West. In their L/10 games against that division, the Pats are 9-1 SU and a perfect 10-0 ATS.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ 49ers (-3)</p>
<p>27: Seattle Seahawks (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) (LW: 26) Hopefully for Seahawks bettors, QB Matt Hasselbeck spent his bye week learning the names of all of his new receivers. Injuries have killed Seattle at the WR position, and that’s bad news against a Giants defense which ranks in the Top-5 in the NFL. Giants Stadium has been a nightmare for Seattle for quite some time. They’re 0-9 SU in the Meadowlands since 1985.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Giants (+7.5)</p>
<p>28: Houston Texans (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) (LW: 27) Texans bettors got a much deserved victory in their 30-27 overtime loss in Jacksonville last week, but that won’t be any consolation to HC Gary Kubiak. The good news is that the team will play its first game at Reliant Stadium next week. The bad news is that they’re playing the Colts, a team that has outscored them 368-199 in their 12 games in team history.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Colts (+3)</p>
<p>29: Minnesota Vikings (1-3 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: 24) Aside from one really good half against the Panthers last week, Minnesota bettors haven’t had much to blow their horns over. They got whooped 30-17 as 3-point underdogs in Tennessee last week, and now QB Gus Frerotte will try to reverse Minnesota’s recent road hex in New Orleans. The Vikes are just 3-5-2 ATS and 3-7 SU in their L/10 games away from the Metrodome.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Saints (+3.5)</p>
<p>30: Cincinnati Bengals (1-3 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 27) After not showing up on an injury report until late in the week, QB Carson Palmer threw a wrench into the works for Bengals bettors who laid the points against the Browns. Even though backup Ryan Fitzpatrick is a Harvard graduate, it didn’t take any Ivy Leaguer to figure out how little of a chance Cincy had in this one. The line ballooned to Cleveland -1 at the close, and the Browns won 20-12.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Cowboys (OTB)</p>
<p>31: Detroit Lions (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) (LW: 31) HC Rod Marinelli should have plenty of motivation for his Lions this week. Not only is Matt Millen no threat to walk through the door, but they are 3-0 ATS in their L/3 meetings with this week’s opponent.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Bears (+3.5)</p>
<p>32: St. Louis Rams (0-4 ATS, 0-4 SU) (LW: 32) Somehow, Rams bettors just had to have a sick feeling about their game with Buffalo even though they led 14-6 at halftime. They were catching 9.5-points on the NFL betting line, but getting outscored 25-0 in the 2nd half spelled yet another loss for St. Louis. There’s no truth yet to the rumor that the Rams are underdogs to the bye week in Week 6.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
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		<title>Smart-CFB Betting Power Poll Week 6</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/30/smart-cfb-betting-power-poll-week-6/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/30/smart-cfb-betting-power-poll-week-6/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Sep 2008 13:57:57 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=75</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 1: Oklahoma Sooners (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW:  The Sooners move up to the top spot in the power poll this week because after their 35-10 whooping of TCU as 18.5-point favorites. OU returns to Big XII play this week against Baylor, and that could lead to a short stay as the top [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> 1: Oklahoma Sooners (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: <img src='http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> The Sooners move up to the top spot in the power poll this week because after their 35-10 whooping of TCU as 18.5-point favorites. OU returns to Big XII play this week against Baylor, and that could lead to a short stay as the top dog. Last year, they went just 3-6 ATS in conference play.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Baylor (-27)</p>
<p>2: Ball State Cardinals (4-0 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 4) Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Football bettors pounded Ball State from -17 all the way up to 20.5 at close. Kent State looked set to backdoor the closing line with a late touchdown, but they missed the extra point sending elated BSU bettors to the window to cash their tickets.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Toledo (-7)</p>
<p>3: Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 3) The Commodores were off this week, but they did move into first place in the SEC East by virtue of both Georgia and Florida losing. They’ll take on Auburn next week, a team they’re just 1-4 ATS against since 2000.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Auburn (+4) </p>
<p>4: Duke Blue Devils (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 13) The biggest jump of the week belongs to Duke, who annihilated Virginia 31-3, easily covering the spread as seven-point home favorites. HC David Cutcliffe deserves to be enshrined if he can get the Dookies to a bowl game this year. The Blue Devils will hope to bump their winning streak to three against GTECH this week, but they haven’t covered the spread against the Jackets since 2003.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Georgia Tech (+14)</p>
<p>5: Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 11) The Cowboys are moving up the power poll quickly, with another really impressive victory over Troy. They knocked off the Trojans 55-24 as 17.5-point home chalks, and in their ATS ‘W’s this year, they’ve averaged beating the spread by 11.8 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Texas A&amp;M (-23.5)</p>
<p>6: Texas Longhorns (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 10) Another 20+ pointspread, another cover for Longhorns bettors. For the third time this year, they beat an opponent by the score of 52-10 when they knocked off the Razorbacks. Next up is Colorado, a team they slaughtered 70-3 the last time they met in the ’05 Big XII title game.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Colorado (-14)</p>
<p>7: Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 12) They may be young, but the Crimson Tide are for real! As 6.5-point underdogs, the Tide rolled out of the gates to a 31-0 advantage over Georgia. Though there were some scary moments in the second half, Alabama bettors never had anything to sweat about.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Kentucky (-16.5)</p>
<p>8: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 5) The Golden Hurricane struggled for awhile with Central Arkansas, but ultimately pounded them 62-34. It should be a real fun game in Tulsa next week when the high flying Rice Owls come to town. Last year, these teams combined to put 91 points on the board.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Rice (-14)</p>
<p>9: Air Force Falcons (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 9) It was a bye week for Air Force. They’ll return to the field on Saturday against Navy, a team they haven’t beaten or covered against since 2002.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Navy (-6)</p>
<p>10: Southern California Trojans (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) (LW: 1) For college football bettors that already had the Trojans penciled into the BCS National Championship game, get out your erasers. USC was absolutely pathetic in their Thursday night showdown with the Beavers at Reser Stadium, falling behind 21-0 at halftime and losing 27-21 when it was all said and done. The Trojans have now lost outright as 24.5 and 41-point favorites in each of the last two seasons. Hmmmmmmm…….</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Oregon (-17)</p>
<p>11: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: 16) The Yellow Jackets were on their bye last week. Though normally getting a bye week to prepare for Duke would be ridiculously unfair, HC Paul Johnson knows not to rest on the also-ATS unbeaten Blue Devils.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Duke (-14)</p>
<p>12: Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1 ATS, 5-0 SU) (LW: 2) It was tough luck for Nittany Lions bettors who laid the 15 points against Illinois. Though PSU was clearly the better team on the field, they came up a point short of beating the football betting line. They’re 7-2 ATS their L/9 meetings against this weeks opponent, Purdue.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Purdue (-12)</p>
<p>13: Northern Illinois Huskies (3-0 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 21) After narrowly covering the spread two weeks ago, Huskies bettors came up with an easy winner this week with their 37-0 victory over Eastern Michigan as short road favorites. Even though they’ll be big underdogs in Knoxville next week, NIU has covered all three of their trips to SEC stadiums since ’99.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Tennessee (+16)</p>
<p>14: Brigham Young Cougars (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 15) The Cougars had a week to prepare for their game this Friday nights game against Utah State. BYU has dominated the lesser teams on their schedule of late, as they’ve covered the spread in seven of their L/10 games against teams below .500.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Utah State (-28.5)</p>
<p>15: Tulane Green Wave (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 6) With a 31-10 lead in the 3rd quarter, Green Wave bettors had to be set to cash their tickets. Unfortunately, they were knocked from the ranks of the unbeaten ATS teams when they were outscored 17-3 by SMU down the stretch. Tulane has covered against Army in three straight meetings, and they’ll host the winless Black Knights this Saturday.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Army (-19)</p>
<p>16: Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 17) The backdoor was wide open for Minnesota bettors in their visit to the “Shoe” this past weekend. Even though the Gophers were behind 34-6 early in the 4th, they scored two TDs in the final nine minutes to cover the 20-points and beat the spread for the third straight game. They’ll take on Indiana this week, a team who’s yet to record a pointspread victory for their bettors in 2008.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Indiana (-7.5)</p>
<p>17: Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 18) The 7th ranked team in the land starts its conference play when the Red Raiders travel to Kansas State this week. Since 2000, Texas Tech is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Wildcats.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Kansas State (-6.5)</p>
<p>18: Georgia Bulldogs (2-1-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 7) Though the Bulldogs have one of the hardest schedules in the country, not many expected to see Georgia lose to Alabama at home last Saturday. They’ll have a week to lick their wounds before playing Tennessee.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>19: Missouri Tigers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) (LW: 20) With Georgia, Florida, and USC all losing this week, the Tigers have garnered some first place votes in the polls on their bye week. They head to Nebraska this week, a place they haven’t won or covered the spread in their last three visits.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Nebraska (-10)</p>
<p>20: Texas Christian Horned Frogs (3-1 ATS, 4-1 SU) (LW: 14) The Horned Frogs put up a decent effort in Norman against the Sooners, but it wasn’t quite enough to stay within the 18.5-points for their football bettors. The #5 defense in the country will come home next week, a place they’re a whopping 37-16 ATS in their L/53 games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. San Diego State (-24.5)</p>
<p>21: Ohio Bobcats (3-1 ATS, 1-4 SU) (LW: 24) Ohio picked up their first victory of the season in their 51-31 thrashing of VMI last weekend. Sports bettors have the chance to wager on the Bobcats again this week when they take on Western Michigan, a team that will be looking to avenge 2006’s 27-21 defeat.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Western Michigan (+4)</p>
<p>22: North Carolina Tar Heels (2-1 ATS, 3-1 SU) (LW: NR) North Carolina looked dead in the water in Miami when they trailed 24-14 with less than ten minutes to play as 7.5-point underdogs. QB Cam Sexton, playing due to the injury to TJ Yates led the Tarheels for not only the spread-covering TD, but then a game-winning one with just 0:46 remaining. They step out of conference this week to take on the banged up UCONN Huskies.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Connecticut (-7)</p>
<p>23: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) (LW: 25) The Golden Eagles return to action this week when they take on UTEP. Last season, SMS knocked the Miners off 56-30 as three-point road favorites. They’ll need another strong offensive effort if they’re going to cover this week, as UTEP averages over 30.2 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. UTEP (-8)</p>
<p>24: Mississippi Rebels (3-1 ATS, 3-2 SU) (LW: NR) Someone forgot to tell Ole Miss that they were supposed to lose to the Gators last weekend. Instead, the Rebs took out #4 UF 31-30 as 23-point underdogs. They’ve got another tough SEC matchup this weekend when the Gamecocks come to Oxford, a place where Mississippi is 8-3-1 ATS in their L/12.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. South Carolina (-2)</p>
<p>25: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (3-1 ATS, 1-3 SU) (LW: NR) For the second time in three weeks, the Ragin’ Cajuns came awfully close to winning a game as 20+ point underdogs. They’ve covered the spread in three straight games, averaging posting winners for their college football bettors by 16.8 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Louisiana-Monroe (-1.5)</p>
<p>Dropped Out: Troy (19), Miami (22), Colorado (23)</p>
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		<title>Smart - CFL Power Poll Week 15</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/29/smart-cfl-power-poll-week-15/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/29/smart-cfl-power-poll-week-15/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Sep 2008 19:57:35 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=74</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
1: Montreal Alouettes (9-4/1-0) (8-5 ATS) (LW: 1) Nothing seems to be stopping the Alouettes from hosting the Grey Cup in Montreal this season. On Sunday, the Als destroyed Saskatchewan 37-12, marking their seventh victory for Canadian Football bettors in the L/8 weeks. If you take out allowing 41 points to Calgary in Week 12, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>1: Montreal Alouettes (9-4/1-0) (8-5 ATS) (LW: 1) Nothing seems to be stopping the Alouettes from hosting the Grey Cup in Montreal this season. On Sunday, the Als destroyed Saskatchewan 37-12, marking their seventh victory for Canadian Football bettors in the L/8 weeks. If you take out allowing 41 points to Calgary in Week 12, Montreal has held teams to 17.0 ppg since the start of August. They’ve already locked up a playoff birth, but they can clinch the Eastern title next week with a ‘W’ at Ivor-Wynne Stadium.</p>
<p>Next up: Away @ Hamilton (2-11)</p>
<p>2: Calgary Stampeders (9-4/1-0) (9-4 ATS) (LW: 2) Four straight victories have propelled the Stamps to the top of the Western Division. For the past two weeks, they have pummeled the hapless Argonauts by a combined score of 78-20, easily providing two winning tickets for their football bettors. They defense held Toronto to just 217 total yards in their Week 14 betting affair, to go with three forced turnovers. Calgary has two big showdowns with Saskatchewan over the next two weeks, games that will inevitably go a long way in deciding how the West is won.</p>
<p>Next up: Away @ Saskatchewan (8-5)</p>
<p>3: British Columbia Lions (8-5/1-0) (7-6 ATS) (LW: 3) Here comes BC again… Since making Buck Pierce the starting quarterback, the Lions have averaged 32.0 ppg and have marched within one game of Calgary for the top spot in the West. Even though oddsmakers installed them as hefty two TD favorites, Lions bettors cashed an easy ticket, beating Hamilton 40-10. DE Cameron Wake racked up three sacks against the Ti-Cats. The defense forced six turnovers.</p>
<p>Next up: Away @ Toronto (4-9)</p>
<p>4: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-8/1-0) (5-8 ATS) (LW: 6) The Bombers might be just 5-8, but they are well on their way to a playoff birth and are playing some of the best football in the CFL. They took a big step in the right direction last week, knocking off Edmonton 30-23 as 3-point favorites on the CFL betting line. ‘Under’ bettors have loved Winnipeg games lately, as they’ve picked up victories in each of the L/3 weeks.</p>
<p>Next up: Away @ Edmonton (7-6)</p>
<p>5: Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-5/0-1) (9-4 ATS) (LW: 4) The Riders are falling quickly, and if they’re not careful, they’ll go from penthouse to outhouse in a hurry. Saskatchewan has lost three straight games and has fallen from the top of the West to just one game from the bottom of it. QB Michael Bishop recorded 364 passing yards against the Alouettes last Sunday, but two costly interceptions and a number of two and outs didn’t give the Riders much of a chance for victory. Riders bettors who cashed on a regular basis at the beginning of the year are now struggling to keep their heads above water.</p>
<p>Next up: Home vs. Calgary (9-4)</p>
<p>6: Edmonton Eskimos (7-6/0-1) (6-6-1 ATS) (LW: 5) It might be a blessing in disguise, but if the playoffs started today, the Eskimos would be playing in the Eastern playoffs as the crossover team. QB Ricky Ray crossed the 4,000-yard passing barrier for the 4th time in the L/5 seasons, but his 434 yards against Winnipeg wasn’t quite enough to post a victory. The 30-23 defeat was bitter for Edmonton bettors who took the three points. They’ll get a chance to avenge that loss this week back at home at Commonwealth Stadium.</p>
<p>Next up: Home vs. Winnipeg (5-8)</p>
<p>7: Toronto Argonauts (4-9/0-1) (3-9-1 ATS) (LW: 7) Argos bettors must feel like they haven’t covered a spread for the entire season. Their 44-16 loss to Calgary on Saturday marked the sixth time in seven weeks that the Boatmen failed to produce a winning ticket for their CFL bettors. For the first time in months, the Argos aren’t in second place in the East, as Winnipeg has hopped them. That means that if the playoffs started today, the +120 favorites to win the East at the beginning of the season wouldn’t even make the playoffs.</p>
<p>Next up: Home vs. British Columbia (8-5)</p>
<p>8: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-11/0-1) (4-9 ATS) (LW: <img src='http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> Former Boston College QB Quinton Porter made his first CFL start last week in BC. Once again, it just doesn’t matter for the Ti-Cats and their football bettors. Porter went 14/27 for 144 yards and turned the ball over four times. Not only was the offense awful, but the defense gave up 450 yards of offense. RB Kenton Keith made his debut for the black and gold, rushing for 33 yards on nine carries. Not only are the Tabbies just 2-11, but they have to play at Molson Stadium next weekend.</p>
<p>Next up: Away @ Montreal (9-4)</p>
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		<title>Kansas City Chiefs +10.0</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/28/kansas-city-chiefs-100/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/28/kansas-city-chiefs-100/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Sep 2008 12:44:27 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=73</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Kansas City Chiefs +10.0
Sun Sep 28 &#8216;08 1:00p
Sunday afternoons conflict between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos is a game that has the public money pouring in all over the Broncos. Denver right now are media darlings , after coming out of the gate with 3 straight victories , including back and forth exiting [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kansas City Chiefs +10.0<br />
Sun Sep 28 &#8216;08 1:00p<br />
Sunday afternoons conflict between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos is a game that has the public money pouring in all over the Broncos. Denver right now are media darlings , after coming out of the gate with 3 straight victories , including back and forth exiting wins against the high flying Saints and Chargers.</p>
<p>Most of the pundits are caught up in Broncomania while at the same time, taking note of the Chiefs current 0-3 start, and unlucky 13 game SU losing streak that dates back to last season. </p>
<p>I know the Broncos QB Jay Cutler(914 yds,8 TDs) is a top flight talent with some surprising down field weapons , but what a lot of pundits are ignoring is their extremely vulnerable defense. With that said,look for KC QB Damon Huard and his under performing but viable down field weapons to open the playbook, for some surprising success, against a Denver defensive secondary, that is giving up 316 passing yards per game. </p>
<p>It is never easy laying money down on a downtrodden team like the Chiefs, but you have to remember this is a long standing divisional rivalry that is sure to bring out the best in the home dog. </p>
<p>Final notes &amp; Key Trends: Denver has failed to cover 13 of their L/17 against division foes. Home team is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll call this wager, my Ugly Betty Game of the Week. Best of luck, and God Bless.<br />
Play on the Chiefs</p>
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		<title>Smart: NFL Betting Power Poll Week 4</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/25/smart-nfl-betting-power-poll-week-4/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/25/smart-nfl-betting-power-poll-week-4/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Sep 2008 18:10:15 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=72</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 1: Tennessee Titans (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) There is no doubt that the Titans have been the most clutch team for NFL bettors this year. They beat both Jacksonville and Cincinnati outright as underdogs, and then crushed the Texans 31-12 last week as 4.5-point favorites. However, Week 4 has been awful to Tennessee of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> 1: Tennessee Titans (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) There is no doubt that the Titans have been the most clutch team for NFL bettors this year. They beat both Jacksonville and Cincinnati outright as underdogs, and then crushed the Texans 31-12 last week as 4.5-point favorites. However, Week 4 has been awful to Tennessee of late. They’re just 1-9 ATS in their L/10 Week 4 games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Vikings (-3)</p>
<p>2: Philadelphia Eagles (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Eagles have a good gripe for the top spot in the power poll as well. Last week, they knocked off Pittsburgh 15-6 as 3.5-point home favorites. They’re now 5-1 ATS in their L/6 games overall.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Bears (-3.5)</p>
<p>3: Dallas Cowboys (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) The Cowboys could be the best team in the NFL, but they’re not spotless for their football bettors. Still, at 2-1, Dallas has been impressive, especially after they covered the spread as short favorites in Green Bay on Sunday Night Football last week. They have a hefty spread to cover this week at home against the Skins.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Redskins (-11)</p>
<p>4: Baltimore Ravens (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU) There hasn’t been much respect for the Ravens yet in ’08, and no wonder. They went 3-13 ATS last season. The Joe Flacco era has begun with a bang this year though, as Baltimore is 2-0 and has beaten the spread by an average of 12-points per game.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Steelers (+8)</p>
<p>5: Buffalo Bills (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) With Tom Brady on the sidelines for the season, the Bills have a great shot to win the AFC East. Even though they didn’t cover the 10-point spread against Oakland last week, they’re still a very impressive 2-1 ATS. The loss snapped a streak of six out of seven covers dating back to last year.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Rams (-9.5)</p>
<p>6: New York Giants (2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) The defending champs opened the season with two very impressive covers against Washington and St. Louis. Last week, they almost tripped up against the Bengals, needing overtime to take out Cincy. The ATS defeat snapped the league’s longest streak of covering the spread at eight games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>7: Atlanta Falcons (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) Give credit to Matt Ryan and the Falcons for tallying two very impressive victories in their first three games of the season. They whooped Detroit and Kansas City by an average of 17.5 ppg ATS. Now they head to Carolina, a place where they won 20-13 as 3.5-point underdogs a year ago.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Panthers (+7)</p>
<p>8: Green Bay Packers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Pack ran into a buzz saw last Sunday night against the Cowboys, but that shouldn’t take away from their first two covers of the season. Good news for Green Bay fans is that two NFC South teams are on the horizon. They’re 7-1 ATS in their L/8 games against the division.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Buccaneers (+1)</p>
<p>9: Oakland Raiders (2-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) Even though Lane Kiffin is clearly in his last days as the head coach in Oakland, his team has responded to the controversy by covering back-to-back games. Their luck could run out this week, as the visiting Chargers are 9-1 ATS against the silver and black over the L/5 years.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Chargers (+9)</p>
<p>10: Denver Broncos (1-1-1 ATS, 3-0 SU) Broncos bettors have deserved better luck this season. After pushing the spread against the Chargers in Week 2, they had the Saints dominated last week, only to let New Orleans hit the backdoor with a 13-3 rally to end the game. Denver covered the spread against this week’s opponent, Kansas City, in both of their match-ups last season.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Chiefs (-9.5)</p>
<p>11: San Francisco 49ers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) After dropping their opening game at home to Arizona, the Niners suddenly look like a legitimate NFC West contender. They’ve scored 30+ points in each of their L/2 games, both wins and both covers. San Fran is just 2-9 ATS in their L/11 meetings with their next opponent, New Orleans.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Saints (+6)</p>
<p>12: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) All looked lost for Bucs bettors last week when they trailed the Bears in the “Windy City” by two scores late in the 4th. QB Brian Griese rallied the troops for an OT victory, the second straight Bucs cover.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Packers (-1)</p>
<p>13: Chicago Bears (1-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Bears successfully snapped defeat from the jaws of victory against the Bucs last Sunday, and now are stuck facing the red hot Eagles this week. Soldier Field hasn’t been kind to Chicago bettors of late, as they are just 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Eagles (+3.5)</p>
<p>14: Arizona Cardinals (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Cardinals took advantage of a weak schedule to move to 2-0 SU and ATS, but ran into trouble last week in Washington. They never led against the Redskins, and never had much of a chance to cover the spread at +3. Things may not get easier this week in New York, as the Cards are 4-8 ATS in their L/12 against the AFC East.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Jets (+1)</p>
<p>15: Washington Redskins (2-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) Back-to-back covers as short favorites has to give Washington some confidence after getting throttled 16-7 in the Meadowlands on opening night. The loss snapped a streak of three consecutive covers against the NFC East. The Skins will hope to return to their winning ways against the Cowboys and Eagles the next two weeks.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Cowboys (+11)</p>
<p>16: New Orleans Saints (2-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Saints might have fallen a Martin Gramatica field goal short of beating the Broncos last week, but they did stay within the 5-points for their football bettors. TE Jeremy Shockey was added to a lengthy injury list this week, so covering six-points against San Fran might be difficult.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. 49ers (-6)</p>
<p>17: Carolina Panthers (1-1-1 ATS, 2-1 SU) It appears as though the Panthers have crashed back to reality after opening up the season with a resounding win against San Diego. After leading 10-0 in Minnesota, the Vikes rolled off 20 straight points, costing Panthers bettors a sure-fire winning ticket. Carolina is just 3-7-1 in their L/11 home games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Falcons (-7)</p>
<p>18: Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) It was a must-win game for the 0-2 Jags in Indianapolis last week, and football bettors got just what the doctor ordered. Jacksonville won 23-21 on a game-winning field goal as time expired, and will hope to keep their streak going against lowly Houston this week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Texans (-9)</p>
<p>19: San Diego Chargers (1-1-1 ATS, 1-2 SU) After two very lackluster performances, the Chargers of old finally made their first appearance on Monday Night Football against the Jets. Though many thought they were ripe to be upset, San Diego not only beat New York, but beat them senseless. They’ll hope to keep that momentum going in Oakland this week, a place where they have covered six straight games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Raiders (-9)</p>
<p>20: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) In their L/2 games, both on the road, Pittsburgh has only managed to score 16 total points. Football bettors could be in for another long week, as the Steelers have only beaten the NFL betting line once in their L/6 meetings.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Ravens (-6)</p>
<p>21: Indianapolis Colts (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) It’s been a very frustrating season for Indy bettors this season, particularly in their new home, Lucas Oil Stadium. Their loss to Jacksonville last week marked their second consecutive home loss. The last time the Colts lost back-to-back home games was in 2001.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>22: Miami Dolphins (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Hello Miami! The Fins hadn’t showed a pulse in almost two years, but on Sunday, they posted a tremendous victory over the Pats as 12.5-point underdogs. They could be in a decent spot to pick up another ‘W’ after their bye week, as they are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their L/6 meetings against the Chargers, whom they’ll meet in two weeks.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>23: New England Patriots (1-2 ATS, 2-1 SU) The NFL’s longest winning streak came to a close against the Dolphins last week, and boy was it a disappointment. They were -12.5 and got whooped by 25 points against the winless Fins. Fortunately, they have a bye week to lick their wounds, but they’re out on the West coast the two weeks to follow.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>24: Minnesota Vikings (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Minnesota bettors picked up their first ‘W’ of the season when they took out the Panthers 20-10 as 3.5-point favorites last Sunday. The Vikes rarely play next week’s opponent, Tennessee, but are 4-0 SU and ATS against the Titans since ’98.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Titans (+3)</p>
<p>25: New York Jets (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) Brett Favre is battling an ankle injury, and the Jets don’t appear to be ready for lift-off any time in the near future. The last two weeks, they have failed to cover the spread by an average of nine ppg. They return home this week, and that probably means more bad news. New York is just 2-6-1 ATS in their L/8 home games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Cardinals (-1)</p>
<p>26: Seattle Seahawks (1-2 ATS, 1-2 SU) After failing to cover the teaser number in either of their first two games, the Seahawks responded by destroying the Rams 37-13 at home last Sunday. That broke a spurt of four out of five regular season games where they failed to cover.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>27: Cincinnati Bengals (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) The Bengals might be one of the worst five teams in football, but at least they can say that they pushed the defending champs to the brink. They never trailed the 13-point spread against the G-Men last weekend, giving Cincy bettors their first cover of the season. In their L/7 games after covering the spread, the Bengals are just 1-6 ATS.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Browns (-3.5)</p>
<p>28: Cleveland Browns (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) Last year might’ve been a dream for Cleveland bettors, going 12-4 ATS, but 2008 hasn’t seen that luck continue. The Browns are 1-2 ATS and haven’t had a real chance of producing a straight up ‘W’ yet. As a result, NFL bettors might get their first look at Brady Quinn as a starting QB sooner than later.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Bengals (+3.5)</p>
<p>29: Houston Texans (0-2 ATS, 0-2 SU) Texans bettors deserved much better than a 19-point defeat in Tennessee last weekend. They came up empty on several red zone trips in the second half, which was capped off by a 99-yard INT return for a touchdown on the final meaningful drive of the game. They’ve now failed to cover in eight of their L/9 road games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Jaguars (+9)</p>
<p>30: Kansas City Chiefs (1-2 ATS, 0-3 SU) There really appears to be no hope for the Chiefs this year. KC bettors got fortunate with the injury to Tom Brady in Week 1, but they haven’t even come close to covering a spread since. Last week in Atlanta, they lost by 24 as 6.5-point underdogs. No one should mention to HC Herm Edwards that they lost to Denver 41-7 the last time they hooked up…</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Broncos (+9.5)</p>
<p>31: Detroit Lions (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) The only thing giving the Lions the nod over St. Louis is the fact that they finally fired Matt Millen. There’s more good news in Detroit this week too… Even the Lions should figure out how to avoid a loss to the bye week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>32: St. Louis Rams (0-3 ATS, 0-3 SU) Sports bettors who have been super teasing the Rams every week aren’t very happy right now. Not only has St. Louis gone 0-3 ATS, they’ve failed to cover each of those games by at least 13-points. The good news is if they lose to Buffalo this week by the same margin as they did the last time they played each other, Rams bettors will only lose by 11.5-points.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Bills (+9.5)</p>
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		<title>Alex Smart-MLB-Comp Selection</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/24/alex-smart-mlb-comp-selection/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/24/alex-smart-mlb-comp-selection/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Sep 2008 14:03:55 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/?p=71</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Texas Rangers (-125)
Wed Sep 24 &#8216;08 2:05p
Matt Harrison ( 8-3, 5.68 ERA) the Rangers starting hurler today , goes against a A&#8217;s offense that struggles mightily against lefites, as is evident by having recorded the worst OPS in the majors against unorthodox pitching with a (.638) average Harrison has owned the Atheltics this season registering [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Texas Rangers (-125)<br />
Wed Sep 24 &#8216;08 2:05p<br />
Matt Harrison ( 8-3, 5.68 ERA) the Rangers starting hurler today , goes against a A&#8217;s offense that struggles mightily against lefites, as is evident by having recorded the worst OPS in the majors against unorthodox pitching with a (.638) average Harrison has owned the Atheltics this season registering a 2-0 mark along with a minuscule 0.65 ERA in 14 innings of work that includes a five-hitter in his last start .Considering the native of North Carolina s domination in this series, it will be an easy decision to back him in this spot.<br />
Meanwhile,Dana Eveland (8-9,4.09 ERA)the As starting pitcher for this tilt in Arlington, just got back from the minors. He pitched well in his first start after his return, but has had a lot of problems with his control all season. The southpaw could easily wilt and regress, in the Texas heat this afternoon against a Rangers offense that has averaged 5.9 RPG at home this season. </p>
<p>Final notes &amp; Key Trends: As have lost 7 of their L/10 as visitors in this series. </p>
<p>Play on the Texas Rangers</p>
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		<title>Smart : College Football Top 25 Betting  Power Poll Week 5</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/24/smart-college-football-top-25-power-poll-week-5/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/24/smart-college-football-top-25-power-poll-week-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Sep 2008 12:16:27 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[1: Southern California Trojans (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU) The Trojans are at the top of the AP Poll and start at the top of the power poll as well. USC has covered the spread against Virginia and Ohio State by an average of 22.8 points per game. USC is now 6-1 ATS in their L/7 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1: Southern California Trojans (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU) The Trojans are at the top of the AP Poll and start at the top of the power poll as well. USC has covered the spread against Virginia and Ohio State by an average of 22.8 points per game. USC is now 6-1 ATS in their L/7 games overall.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Oregon State (-25.5)</p>
<p>2: Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) HC Joe Paterno may have a real national championship contender in Happy Valley this year. PSU has faced three sub-par opponents this year, but have faced some hefty numbers on the betting line as well. They’re averaging 52.8 points per game, 3rd in the nation. The schedule gets much harder now, and begins with a game against Illinois, a team they lost 27-20 to last season.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Illinois (-14)</p>
<p>3: Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) For a team that had an over/under of three wins on the season, Vandy’s done quite alright this year. They’re ranked in the AP Poll for the first time since 1984, and are the only team in the land that is 4-0 ATS. Not only are they a perfect 4-0 ATS and SU, but they won three of those four games as underdogs.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>4: Ball State Cardinals (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) There’s very little attention paid to MAC football, but bettors who’ve dug to find the Cardinals have been rewarded with a 3-0 start to the season. Not only have they been covering the spread, but they’ve been killing it. Last week against Indiana, they won by 22-points as short underdogs. They’re now 14-5 in their L/19 games overall. Loss of (Duante Love) may impact this rating next week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Kent State (-17)</p>
<p>5: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) Tulsa has destroyed the betting line in all three of their contests this year in spite of being favored by an average of 15.2 ppg. Last week was the biggest blowout, as the Golden Hurricane took care of New Mexico 56-14 as 11-point favorites. Betting against Tulsa hasn’t been a good idea of late, as they’ve beaten the spread by at least a touchdown in each of their L/4 games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Central Arkansas (No Line)</p>
<p>6: Tulane Green Wave (3-0 ATS, 1-2 SU) The Green Wave have very quietly put up three very impressive performances for their sports bettors to start the season. In each of their first three games, they’ve covered the spread by at least a touchdown. It could be more good news this week, as they take on SMU, a team they’ve covered the spread against six of the L/7 times.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. SMU (-18)</p>
<p>7: Georgia Bulldogs (2-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Bulldogs opened up the season #1 in the AP Poll and haven’t done anything to disappoint thus far. The schedule’s been brutal, but they’ve passed their first couple stern tests with flying colors. They’re now 6-0 ATS in their L/6 games against ranked opponents and will hope to continue that streak against the #8 team in the nation this week.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Alabama (-7)</p>
<p>8: Oklahoma Sooners (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) The Sooners have taken care of business so far this season, racking up relatively easy victories against Cincinnati and Washington in their first two FBS games. They’ve had a bye week to rest up for TCU, a team that came into Norman and knocked the Sooners off 17-10 back in 2005. Oklahoma is 10-4 ATS its L/14 home games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Texas Christian (-17.5)</p>
<p>9: Air Force Falcons (3-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) Though the Falcons pulled off SU upsets against both Wyoming and Houston as road underdogs in the first two weeks of September, a match against Utah was a bit too difficult last week. Though they lost 30-23, it was good enough to cover the 9.5-points and move to 3-0 ATS on the year. The Falcons are 5th in the nation on the ground, rushing for 281.8 yards per game.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>10: Texas Longhorns (3-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) If the first three games of the year are any indicator, the Longhorns are going to be very scary in Big XII play. They’ve now covered the spread as 23, 26, and 29-point favorites early this season against lesser opponents. Last week, Rice was victim for UT, as the Longhorns rolled to the 52-10 victory.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Arkansas (-27)</p>
<p>11: Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) The victories keep getting more impressive early in the season for the Cowboys. Last week they took care of Missouri State with ease, but they’ll return to FBS play this week when the also-unbeaten Troy Trojans pay a visit to Stillwater. Since ’03, the Cowboys are 5-2 ATS against Sun Belt teams.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Troy (-17)</p>
<p>12: Alabama Crimson Tide (3-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) Sure, the Tide aren’t undefeated, but knocking off Clemson by 24 points as four-point underdogs, then blowing out the Razorbacks in Fayetteville last week deserves some recognition. They’ve got a tremendous game “Between the Hedges” this week, but are just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 SEC games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Georgia (+7)</p>
<p>13: Duke Blue Devils (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) It may be about a million years since Duke was ranked in any real poll, but at 2-0 ATS, they’re good enough to crack the Top-25 here. Last week, they covered the spread against Navy as favorites, the first time they had accomplished that feat since 1998.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. Virginia (-7)</p>
<p>14: Texas Christian Horned Frogs (3-0 ATS, 4-0 SU) After beating SMU by 41-points last week, the Horned Frogs cracked the AP’s Top-25 for the first time this year. More importantly for football bettors, it was their third straight ATS victory of the season, and they’re now 7-1 ATS in the L/8 overall.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Oklahoma (+17.5)</p>
<p>15: Brigham Young Cougars (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The only memory that most people have of the Cougars this year was beating Washington on a blocked extra point. For those not paying attention, BYU has outscored their last two opponents by a combined score of 113-0. Needless to say, they’ve been a cover-machine.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>16: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-0 ATS, 3-1 SU) After back-to-back ATS victories to open up the ACC season, HC Paul Johnson continued to bring success to Atlanta by knocking off Mississippi State 38-7 as seven-point favorites. The Ramblin’ Wreck have a week off to prepare for Duke.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>17: Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Gophers haven’t taken on the greatest of opponents yet this year, but they’ve taken care of business in their last two betting affairs. They’ve averaged beating the spread against Bowling Green and Florida Atlantic by 28.5 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Ohio State (+17.5)</p>
<p>18: Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-0-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) If not for a late backdoor TD by SMU last week, the Red Raiders would be 2-0 ATS instead of 1-0-1. QB Graham Harrell has thrown for 1,573 yards already in just four games. TT has a week off before starting Big XII play to kick off October.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>19: Troy Trojans (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) The Men of Troy are the last unbeaten Sun Belt team left in terms of the spread, and they’ve gotten to 2-0 against some pretty impressive competition. Last week, the Trojans marched into the Horseshoe and gave the Buckeyes all they could handle, sticking within the three tuddies.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Oklahoma State (+17)</p>
<p>20: Missouri Tigers (2-1 ATS, 4-0 SU) The Tigers have the #2 offense in the nation at 53.8 points per game, and though they failed to cover the hefty 31.5-point spread against Buffalo last week, they look poised to run up the score on a lot of teams this season. Just ask Nevada and Illinois.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye</p>
<p>21: Northern Illinois (2-0 ATS, 1-2 SU) No one asks how you cover the spread, just whether you do, and the Huskies have done just enough to keep their bettors happy. They may have lost both of their betting match-ups SU this season, but they have found a way to cover the spread in each with strong 4th quarters. Even though they have only won three games in the past two seasons, NIU has covered the spread in five straight games.</p>
<p>Next Up: Away @ Eastern Michigan (-6.5)</p>
<p>22: Miami Hurricanes (2-0 ATS, 2-1 SU) HC Randy Shannon has his job on the line this year, and the UM alumni have to be happy with the 2-0 ATS start. Last week, they blew out Texas A&amp;M as 2.5-point road favorites. They’ve got a real shot to make some noise in the ACC Coastal division this week when they host the Tar Heels, who have covered the spread against Miami in all four of their meetings since the Canes joined the ACC.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. North Carolina (-7.5)</p>
<p>23: Colorado Buffaloes (2-0 ATS, 3-0 SU) Will the real Colorado Buffaloes please stand up? A week and a half after nearly losing to Eastern Washington, the Buffs beat West Virginia 17-14 in overtime as 2.5-point underdogs. It hasn’t been pretty, but Colorado is 2-0 ATS and hopes to improve on that in their neutral site game with Florida State.</p>
<p>Next Up: Neutral Site vs. Florida State (+5.5)</p>
<p>24: Ohio Bobcats (3-1 ATS, 0-4 SU) Hey, even 0-4 teams get some love from the betting gods every now and then. The Bobcats are a hook away from being 4-0 ATS in spite of losing all four of their games straight up. Last year, HC Frank Solich’s boys were strong ATS as well. They’ve now covered the spread in six of their L/8.</p>
<p>Next Up: Home vs. VMI (No Line)</p>
<p>25: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (3-1 ATS, 2-2 SU) Southern Miss laid a giant egg against Marshall last week, losing outright as 7-point favorites. It’s hard to overlook their first three ATS victories of the season though, as the Golden Eagles took care of their bettors by beating the spread by an average of 10.3 ppg.</p>
<p>Next Up: Bye </p>
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		<title>Alex Smart, The Smart Money, MLB Comp Selection</title>
		<link>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/22/alex-smart-the-smart-money-mlb-member-selection-3/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.donbest.com/wpmu1/alexsmart/2008/09/22/alex-smart-the-smart-money-mlb-member-selection-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Sep 2008 01:29:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays u9.0
Tue Sep 23 &#8216;08 7:05p
Jesse Litsch (12-8, 3.72 ERA) the Blue Jays starter for this tilt against the Yankees, is in top form, as is evident by allowing just 10 runs in his last seven starts for a stingy 1.91 ERA. He seems to love pitching at home [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays u9.0<br />
Tue Sep 23 &#8216;08 7:05p</strong><br />
Jesse Litsch (12-8, 3.72 ERA) the Blue Jays starter for this tilt against the Yankees, is in top form, as is evident by allowing just 10 runs in his last seven starts for a stingy 1.91 ERA. He seems to love pitching at home in the Rogers Center posting a 2.79 ERA on the season. Im betting his his red hot ways will continue tonight. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, veteran Mike Mussina(18-9, 3.57 ERA) will return fire for the Bronx Bombers . The Yankee right hander, is 7-2 on the road during his current campaign, along with a tight 3.53. With the former Stanford stand out, left with just two remaining starts on the season, including this outing, he will be primed to perform as he tries to reach the 20 point win plateau, for the first time his career.</p>
<p>Both these hurlers are supported by two of the better bullpens in the American League. </p>
<p>Despite of these teams possessing viable offenses, Im expecting the throwers to take center stage in what will be a low scoring pitchers duel. </p>
<p>Play Under</p>
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