FREE Pick: OVER Orioles – Yes, John Danks has some impressive numbers this season but he’s still facing an Orioles team that has averaged over six runs per game this month. Before being held to just three runs apiece in the first two games of this series, the Orioles had exploded for seven runs on Sunday against the Yankees. Danks full season numbers are impressive but let’s not forget that he’s allowed 25 earned runs in his last 8 starts. That still equates to over three earned runs per start. Plus, once Danks is out of the game, the White Sox bullpen will take over and they have not been as solid recently as their full season numbers would indicate. As you can see, the Orioles should scratch their fair share of runs tonight but the real value with this over comes from the White Sox lineup. They are the leading home run hitting team in the majors and they’ve been scoring runs like crazy this month…including last night’s 8-run explosion! They will be facing Radhames Liz of the Orioles. The Baltimore right-hander has allowed 14 homers in less than 52 innings of work this season so, as you can see, this is not a favorable match-up for him. Liz doesn’t even average five innings per start and that will expose an Orioles bullpen that has continued to deteriorate recently! Liz has a 7.32 ERA this season and a 7.19 ERA in his career. He’s continuing to have problems with both walks and homers and that’s never a good combo. As a result, look for a slugfest to erupt at Camden Yards on Wednesday night!