Two weeks are in the books and we’re just starting get a picture of how the season will shape up. Don’t let early season fluke games which are not indicative of a team’s overall direction influence your decision making for the next four months. This season will be interesting as all the top notch teams appear to have weaknesses while several middle of the road teams improved from last season.

1. Indianapolis Colts (1-1 ATS)
Not going to be great until Manning finishes his preseason and Jeff Saturday returns to the O line.

2. San Diego Chargers (0-1-1)
Familiar slow start. Offense is excellent, defense is suddenly suspicious.

3. Dallas Cowboys (1-1)
Averaging 316 a game passing and 117 rushing.
(Continued..)

Wow, what a start to the NFL season! My preseason top 3 is all 0-1, while two of the bottom three is 1-0. Here are my updated rankings heading into Week 2.

1. Indianapolis Colts (0-1)
The new Super Bowl favorite despite a horrible Week 1.

2. San Diego Chargers (0-1)
A surprising loss but still one of the most talented teams.

3. New Orleans Saints (1-0)
Great offense and it looks like the city will survive hurricane season.
(Continued..)

The NFL regular season is finally here. Here’s the teams ranked in order as we enter the new season.

1. New England Patriots
Last season’s best is on top again.

2. San Diego Chargers
Will benefit from six games against inferior competition within their division.

3. Indianapolis Colts
As long as Dungy and Manning are in town, this is a Top 5 team.
(Continued..)

GreyFox starts his SEC breakdown with the Florida Gators

Since Urban Meyer’s arrival, the Gators have compiled a 70-16 record, with a daunting 19-1 home mark. After an opening 8-3 regular season in ’05, Meyer took Ron Zook’s prize recruiting class to a National Title in ’06. Last season ended with a disappointing bowl loss to Michigan, but the Gators are bringing back a Heisman Trophy winner along with 15 potential starters from that squad, and seem to have a favorable schedule.
(Continued..)

2008 Oklahoma Sooners
Season Preview:
Courtesy of the GreyFox

Oklahoma is a historic juggernaut from the Big 12. This program needs no introduction to even the most square of college football fans. It harkens memories of teams that went multiple seasons without losing a game. Sooner fans have witnessed seven National Championships, 42 conference championships, 146 All-Americans, four Heisman Trophy Winners and a 47 game unbeaten streak. The program has been home to some of college football’s best coaches and players for decades. Coaching is currently strong for OU, as Bob Stoops stands at the wheelhouse for the boys in Crimson and Cream.

Starting his 11^th year, Stoops posts a career record of 97-22 (65-13 Big 12), with a 3-2 record against hated arch rival Texas over the past five campaigns. The biggest hurdle facing this program is escaping its division, and once it does that, it is going to have to find a way to erase the current 1-4 bowl run. Texas and Texas Tech are fielding veteran, tough teams this season, and battling for the Big 12 South is going to bring great bloodshed.
(Continued..)

We split yesterday winning with the favored Red Sox and losing with the Astros as a huge underdog. The value was there but Backe struggled with control and started leaving the ball up. It was an obvious possibility against a loaded lineup on an offensive day at Wrigley but the play had to be made. 

Tuesday’s win with the Rays put us over the $1000 (1078) mark since we started keeping track at Sharpbettor.com. If you have bet $100 on each of my releases that would be your return. Congrats to those who have participated in the winning and jump on board to the rest of you. It’s never too late. (Continued..)

After a brutal Sunday, I wasn’t big on the Monday card so I took the day off. Today, I’m bouncing back with my Black Diamond AL Play of the Week. An important aspect of the recent success has been coming back with a big day after the occasional losing day. Let’s hope that trend continues this evening.

A wise man once said that one of the keys to success is surrounding yourself with people who are smarter than you. As fall approaches, you will see that I leave the college football to a couple of the sharpest men I’ve had the pleasure of meeting since my arrival in Las Vegas.

I don’t have the time or knowledge to do it all. I’m overwhelmed with the NFL, MLB and college basketball. I really don’t understand how any individual can take on much more than that. Historically, I’ve only handicapped the National League in the summer but I have taken on some of the AL responsibilities and it’s been profitable for the bankroll but it’s been my least pleasurable summer in years. All I can say is very few people can come close to understanding the preparation necessary to gain an advantage on a daily basis betting sports. (Continued..)

Vegas Numbers will return before the start of football season. My audio equiptment needs a tune up so this is going to be a more traditional blog in the mean time.

Sunday was a tough day to say the least. Struggling through an 0-2-1 day just isn’t my style and it’s the latest reminder that my gambling days are numbered. As great as my record has been, losing days sting more than ever now that I sell my picks.

I bet all my releases in Vegas sportsbooks and the loss out of wallet hurts but the agony is now compounded with others on my action. It’s amazing how the winning days come and go but the losing days devastate me to the point of struggling to eat or sleep. It’s a great life but this is no way to live if I want to be an old man someday.

I choose this lifestyle and have been through plenty of ups and downs in my career but I simply can’t handle losing anymore. I put so much of my time and energy into this that I even get frustrated with this nonsense when the results come in as expected but the losing is completely intolerable.

Don’t get me wrong, I not going anywhere imminently. The bankroll is as healthy as ever and it’s only about 100 days until college basketball season. You can find me in the books all over town for at least the next eight months. I’m still finding winners but I’m starting to enjoy it less and I know I can’t produce at this level for too much longer.

I realize that I’m ignoring other interests and the world is changing at an alarming rate. Earning a living betting sports is enjoyable and rewarding but it takes up just about all of my time and energy. Finding pointspread advantages is an academic exercize which is the rare combination of fun and profitable. I will never regret my years in Vegas but the time is coming for my mind to focus on other endeavors.

With that said, my podcast “Vegas Numbers” and blog “My Final Season” can be found here on a consistent basis.

Take Care,

Tommy D.

Tommy is 6-1 in his last seven picks and he has two monster releases available on the Guaranteed Picks page!

 

 Standard Podcast [7:10m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

Tommy hit his Black Diamond selection last night in dramatic fashion to close out another 3-0 night! TD has released a Black Diamond Side play tonight along with strong Bankroll Builder pick.

 

 Standard Podcast [10:07m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download